Fixtures

GW1Fri 21 Aug

ARS

2.0 – 1.0

COV

62%draw 21%18%

38%

ARS CS

13%

COV CS

57%

over 2.5

54%

both score

GW1Sat 22 Aug

HUL

1.2 – 1.6

MUN

30%draw 25%45%

21%

HUL CS

29%

MUN CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Sat 22 Aug

EVE

1.6 – 1.2

CRY

45%draw 25%30%

29%

EVE CS

21%

CRY CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Sat 22 Aug

IPS

1.4 – 1.4

SUN

37%draw 25%38%

25%

IPS CS

25%

SUN CS

53%

over 2.5

57%

both score

GW1Sat 22 Aug

NFO

1.6 – 1.2

LEE

45%draw 25%30%

29%

NFO CS

21%

LEE CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Sat 22 Aug

BRE

1.6 – 1.2

TOT

45%draw 25%30%

29%

BRE CS

21%

TOT CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Sun 23 Aug

BHA

1.2 – 1.6

AVL

30%draw 25%45%

21%

BHA CS

29%

AVL CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Sun 23 Aug

MCI

1.8 – 1.1

BOU

53%draw 23%24%

33%

MCI CS

17%

BOU CS

55%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Sun 23 Aug

NEW

1.2 – 1.6

LIV

30%draw 25%45%

21%

NEW CS

29%

LIV CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

GW1Mon 24 Aug

FUL

1.2 – 1.6

CHE

30%draw 25%45%

21%

FUL CS

29%

CHE CS

54%

over 2.5

56%

both score

Probabilities come from a Poisson goals model: each side's expected goals are built from their attacking strength against the opponent's defence, then every scoreline is summed. Clean sheet = P(opponent scores 0). Detailed strength ratings are not published yet, so these lean on overall team ratings and will sharpen once the season is under way.